Match Info

Date: 30 October 2020, Friday


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Sesvete

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	2.08	2.9	3.2
	1.93	3.25	3.55
	1.97	3.43	3.86
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	1.94	3.54	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
45.3%

Draw
28.1%

Sesvete
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

20.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sesvete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hrvatski Dragovoljac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sesvete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Sesvete Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Hrvatski Dragovoljac will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Sesvete will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hrvatski Dragovoljac: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to 1. HNL and 3).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
24.10.20	Hajduk Split 2 - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1 ✺
16.10.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Dinamo II Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:3 ✺
30.09.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Opatija	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTT
- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
23.10.20	Sesvete - Orijent	5:4 ✺
16.10.20	Dubrava - Sesvete	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Hajduk Split 2 - Sesvete	2:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
07.10.20	Sesvete - Gorica	3:4 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
03.10.20	Sesvete - Cibalia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
30.11.19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Sesvete	3:2
29.03.19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Sesvete	1:3
Club Friendly
06.02.19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Sesvete	2:2
Croatian Prva NL
21.09.18	Sesvete - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1
24.03.18	Sesvete - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:2
10.03.18	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Sesvete	2:2
30.09.17	Sesvete - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1

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