Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 32

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Bijelo Brdo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.79	3.66	1.87
	3.7	3.52	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.1)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
24.9%

Draw
26.6%

Bijelo Brdo
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Bijelo Brdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bijelo Brdo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bijelo Brdo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bijelo Brdo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hrvatski Dragovoljac will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Bijelo Brdo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bijelo Brdo: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Debijadi J. (G) 13. Amoateng S. 29. Cavar B. 19. Filipovic J. 15. Franic M. 16. Luo H. 27. Maric I. 2. Markovina B. 21. Pistelli M. 24. Zdunic B. 20. Zutic I.	1. Djilas I. (G) 18. Benic A. 23. Dobrijevic M. 7. Junior S. 28. Misic M. 31. Plazonja S. 29. Pudic D. 4. Rudic D. 10. Sinanovic S. 11. Tokich M. 27. Tomasevic J.
Substitutes
7. Bicanic L. 22. Braun D. 3. Marincic N. 35. Peric A. 23. Pobi F. 17. Suljic V. 97. Tuta A. (G) 18. Uwem A. 28. Veljaca M.	13. Bakovic I. 3. Brandic L. 12. Dawson Bojanic B. A. (G) 17. Mihaljevic L. 22. Nesic N. 20. Pecarski D. 15. Popovic N. 21. Sesugh M. I. 16. Zupan B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bijelo Brdo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bijelo Brdo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
22.05.23	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0 ✺
12.05.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Croatia Zmijavci	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Vukovar 91 - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTL
- NK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Croatian Prva NL
20.05.23	Orijent - Bijelo Brdo	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Bijelo Brdo	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Rudeš - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
28.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	1:0
13.08.22	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:2
20.04.21	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0
16.10.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	1:1
08.03.20	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:0
13.09.19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	3:0
07.04.19	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0

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