Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Huétor Tájar		Motril

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.68	2.62
	3.27	2.8	2.36	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.82	3.03	2.61
	2.9	2.66	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.85)	2.79 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huétor Tájar
31.3%

Draw
32.7%

Motril
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

28.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huétor Tájar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huétor Tájar's performance.

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motril might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huétor Tájar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motril could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Huétor Tájar - Motril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huétor Tájar won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Huétor Tájar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Motril is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Huétor Tájar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Huétor Tájar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motril	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
04.01.26	Huétor Tájar - Martos	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Tájar - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWTT
- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.01.26	Motril - Torre Del Mar	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Motril - Melilla B	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Martos - Motril	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Motril - El Palo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.09.25	Motril - Huétor Tájar	1:0
18.01.25	Huétor Tájar - Motril	1:0
27.01.24	Huétor Tájar - Motril	0:2
17.09.23	Motril - Huétor Tájar	3:0
23.04.23	Motril - Huétor Tájar	2:1
17.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Motril	2:3
13.02.22	Motril - Huétor Tájar	1:3

Huétor Tájar - Motril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide