Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Mancha Real		Huétor Tájar

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.92	2.88
	2.47	2.59	3.25
	4.74	3.80	1.65	Watch
	2.42	2.76	3.06
	2.45	2.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.34)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
33.2%

Draw
32.7%

Huétor Tájar
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mancha Real's form might have worsened.

Huétor Tájar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mancha Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Montes L. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Juanca Gonzalez ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

Mancha Real is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Huétor Tájar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mancha Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Mancha Real - Martos	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mancha Real - Motril	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLT
- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Churriana de la Vega - Huétor Tájar	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Huétor Tájar - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.03.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:0
16.11.24	Huétor Tájar - Mancha Real	2:0
03.03.24	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1
22.10.23	Huétor Tájar - Mancha Real	1:1
21.12.19	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	0:1

Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide