Match Info

CHINA: YI LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Hubei Istar		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	3.81	3.15	1.9
	3.8	2.9	1.91
	3.7	3.25	1.97
	3.8	3.2	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.2)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	1.91 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
24%

Draw
28.9%

Qingdao Red Lions
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

31%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Red Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Hubei Istar - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Qingdao Red Lions will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Qingdao Red Lions is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )

Recent matches Hubei Istar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qingdao Red Lions is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Qingdao Red Lions could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hubei Istar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hubei Istar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
08.07.23	Hubei Istar - Wuhan Jiangcheng	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	Dalian Zhixing - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Hubei Istar - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
18.06.23	Hubei Istar - Zibo Qisheng	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWL
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
09.07.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Zibo Qisheng	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Taian Tiankuang - Qingdao Red Lions	2:2 ✺
28.06.23	Nantong Haimen Codion - Qingdao Red Lions	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuhan Jiangcheng	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Dalian Zhixing - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
24.05.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Hubei Istar	2:0
09.08.22	Hubei Istar - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0
15.07.22	Qingdao Red Lions - Hubei Istar	1:1
19.11.21	Qingdao Red Lions - Hubei Istar	0:0

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