Match Info

CHINA: YI LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Hunan Billows		Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.35	4.34	5.71
	1.36	4.8	7
	1.38	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (2.82)	4.56 ↑ (3.06)	6.34 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
66%

Draw
19.8%

Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hunan Billows's performance.

Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-33%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hunan Billows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Hunan Billows - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hunan Billows will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Shaoxing Shangyu will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hunan Billows: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Hunan Billows has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shaoxing Shangyu is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hunan Billows is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hunan Billows won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
15.07.23	Guangxi Lanhang - Hunan Billows	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Hunan Billows	4:1 ✺
02.07.23	Hunan Billows - Quanzhou Yassin	1:5 ✺
27.06.23	Hunan Billows - Yunnan Yukun	2:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Hunan Billows - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur
Chinese Yi League
16.07.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Yunnan Yukun	1:6 ✺
08.07.23	Kunming City - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Guangxi Lanhang	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Wenzhou Professional	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Quanzhou Yassin - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
06.06.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Hunan Billows	4:2
12.11.22	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Hunan Billows	1:2
27.07.22	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Hunan Billows	3:0

Hunan Billows - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide