Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hungerford Town		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.8	3.1
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.92	4.26	3.17
	1.87	3.86	3.24
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.25)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	3.2 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
48.1%

Draw
23.4%

Hendon
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hungerford Town's performance.

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hendon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hendon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hungerford Town - Hendon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 9).

Recent matches Hungerford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hendon is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hendon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hungerford have a series of guest games.

Recently Hendon have a series of home games.

Hungerford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.23	Walton & Hersham - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	3:5 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Torquay United - Hungerford Town	5:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.09.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hungerford Town	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hungerford Town - Hayes & Yeading United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWT
- Hendon
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hendon - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
30.09.23	Hendon - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Hendon - Hanwell Town	3:3 ✺
23.09.23	Tiverton Town - Hendon	2:4 ✺
12.09.23	Hendon - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTWT

Hungerford Town - Hendon

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town - Hendon Predictions

Preview

Form

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