Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 10

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Hendon		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.83	4.25	3.44
	1.83	3.7	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.25)	3.79 ↑ (3.64)	3.49 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
49.7%

Draw
24.1%

Hanwell Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanwell Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hanwell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hendon - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Recent matches Hendon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hanwell Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hanwell Town have a series of home games.

Hendon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
23.09.23	Tiverton Town - Hendon	2:4 ✺
12.09.23	Hendon - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Totton - Hendon	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Hendon - Harrow Borough	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hendon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTL
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
23.09.23	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	Hanwell Town - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Hanwell Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.04.23	Hanwell Town - Hendon	1:1
26.12.22	Hendon - Hanwell Town	1:0

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