Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	5.75	Watch
	1.72	3.40	5.00
	1.75	3.3	5.4	Watch
	1.76	3.53	5.71
	1.76	3.43	5.1
	1.7	3.45	5.5
	1.7	3.45	5.77	Watch
	1.74	3.35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	5.43 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
54.8%

Draw
27.7%

Aldosivi
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

27.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.7%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Huracán (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Meza S. (G) 2. Blondel L. 6. Pereyra F. (C) 35. Palazzo M. 19. Lescano L. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 15. Waller Martiarena F. F. 7. Cortes O. 8. Gil L. 24. Kalinger F. 17. Bisanz J.	42. Acosta L. (G) 28. Moya S. 2. Sigali L. (C) 32. Pombo J. 13. Cufre B. 24. Anso F. 5. Linares N. 19. Castro L. 8. Garcia M. 10. Gaitan N. 29. Vombergar A.
Substitutes
34. Campo I. 12. Duran N. (G) 46. Martinez F. 41. Mora L. 21. Nervo H. 20. Ojeda E. 11. Peralta T. 23. Pussetto I. 10. Romero O. 51. Soto M. 49. Uribe T. 4. Vera F.	18. Chavez A. 23. Chicco I. (G) 9. Cordero N. 16. Dadin B. 21. Godoy M. 4. Gonzalez R. 7. Guzman N. 17. Laurelli F. 11. Palavecino A. 15. Perruzzi F. 33. Zalazar N.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Sanguinetti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Pombo J. 🟨,
33', Palazzo M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Lescano L. ⚽, Bisanz J. (A),
45', Vombergar A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Castro L. 🟨,
53', Moya S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
53', Anso F. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
64', Kalinger F. ↓, Peralta T. ↑,
64', Castro L. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
64', Linares N. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
74', Pombo J. 🟨,
75', Cortes O. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
75', Gil L. ↓, Mora L. ↑,
77', Lescano L. ↓, Nervo H. ↑,
77', Waller Martiarena F. F. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
79', Romero O. 🟨,
87', Perruzzi F. 🟨,
87', Sigali L. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 2.

Huracán has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Aldosivi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aldosivi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Huracán for this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Huracán has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Huracán against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:5 goals (averaging 2.4:1 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Huracan: 4.9% Aldosivi: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.26	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWTTT
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.26	Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Aldosivi - Banfield	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Argentinos Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.08.26	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0
12.10.25	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0
05.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	3:3
07.08.22	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.22	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.09.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	2:0
24.03.16	Huracán Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	2:0

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