Match Info

NSW League One - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Hurstville Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.15	4.35
	1.54	4.29	4.1
	1.58	4.46	4.24	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.4
	1.53	4.3	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)	4.35 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
57.9%

Draw
21.4%

Hurstville Zagreb
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

23.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Hurstville Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hurstville Zagreb than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Northern Tigers - Hurstville Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Northern Tigers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Northern Tigers is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Northern Tigers - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
10.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Northern Tigers - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Northern Tigers - Hills United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dulwich Hill - Northern Tigers	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTW
- Hurstville Zagreb FC
Australian NSW League One
11.04.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Macarthur Rams	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dulwich Hill - Hurstville Zagreb	3:2 ✺
27.03.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Hakoah Sydney City East	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Hurstville Zagreb	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Hills United - Hurstville Zagreb	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTWL

Northern Tigers - Hurstville Zagreb: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide