Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hutnik		Legia II

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.30	2.63
	2.23	3.72	2.84
	2.2	3.64	2.94	Watch
	2.19	3.65	2.75
	2.23	3.63	2.90	Watch
	2.16	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.06)	3.57 ↑ (3.17)	2.8 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
41.5%

Draw
25.8%

Legia II
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hutnik - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medrala M. (G) 14. Bracik K. 27. Budzinski M. 17. Florek B. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 37. Motrych A. 25. Nweke V. 24. Sciuk D. 18. Soja M. 10. Sowinski M. 19. Zawada O.	1. Bienduga J. (G) 4. Gora L. 17. Kiedrowicz D. 25. Korzynski B. 3. Lauryn M. 18. Lis J. 13. Mikanovich E. 14. Mozdzen M. 28. Przybylko F. 11. Ryczkowski A. 27. Szczepaniak M.
Substitutes
. Adamczyk M. 16. Bil S. 47. Galek I. 8. Kholodov N. 23. Lelek K. 33. Nowak W. (G) 98. Pietruszka D. 55. Ponomarenko N.	39. Bicki B. 5. Boczon R. 22. Kosiorek K. 52. Olewinski O. 7. Pchelka C. 15. Saletra M. 8. Stepniewski F. 12. Trojanowski J. (G) 23. Wyganowski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Zawada O. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Zawada O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lauryn M. ↓, Kosiorek K. ↑,
46', Lis J. ↓, Saletra M. ↑,
56', Kiedrowicz D. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
60', Gora L. ↓, Boczon R. ↑,
61', Budzinski M. ↓, Galek I. ↑,
61', Motrych A. ↓, Ponomarenko N. ↑,
69', Saletra M. 🟨,
73', Zawada O. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
74', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Bicki B. ↑,
79', Kordykiewicz O. ↓, Kholodov N. ↑,
79', Soja M. ↓, Bil S. ↑,
82', Bracik K. 🟨,

Preview

Hutnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Legia II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hutnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hutnik has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Hutnik Krakow: 1.02% Legia II: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15
14	Legia II	9	3	0	6	18:17	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
08.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	2:5 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Hutnik - Swit Skolwin	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Mławianka Mława - Hutnik	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWT?
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 2
09.08.26	Legia II - Swit Skolwin	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Znicz Pruszków - Legia II	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Legia II - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTL

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