Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Huétor Vega		Huétor Tájar

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.72	2.98
	2.46	2.91	2.99
	2.46	2.9	2.99
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.42	2.84	2.98
	2.4	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	2.82 (2.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huétor Vega
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Huétor Tájar
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

32.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huétor Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Huétor Tájar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (-4%)

Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Diaz Castillo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huétor Vega won 2.

Huétor Vega is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Huétor Tájar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Huétor Vega may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Huétor Vega will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Huétor Vega won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Huétor Vega won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Huetor Vega	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huétor Vega CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.01.26	Melilla B - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Martos - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Huétor Vega - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Marbellí - Huétor Vega	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.01.26	Huétor Tájar - Motril	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Huétor Tájar - Martos	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Tájar - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.10.25	Huétor Tájar - Huétor Vega	0:1
01.05.25	Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar	0:0
14.12.24	Huétor Tájar - Huétor Vega	3:1
21.01.24	Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar	2:2
09.09.23	Huétor Tájar - Huétor Vega	0:1
05.02.23	Huétor Tájar - Huétor Vega	2:4
09.10.22	Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar	1:1

Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide