Match Info

K League 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)


	Hwaseong		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.58
	2.68	3.36	2.68
	2.66	3.44	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.72	3.14	2.62	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.42)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
35.1%

Draw
29.1%

Jeonnam Dragons
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 16. Choi Myung-Hee 8. Jeon S. 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 7. Jegal Jae-Min 9. Petrov S. 11. Pllana L.	1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 3. Kim J. 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 91. Corinus J. 6. Kang Sin-Myeong 99. Jeong Kang-min 7. Choi Han-Sol 10. Valdivia (C) 8. Park Tae-Yong 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 9. Ha Nam
Substitutes
10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 66. Jeong Y. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 6. Kim Jung-Min 30. Mun Geon-Ho 38. Park E. (G) 17. Park Kyung-Min 5. Yang Si-Hoo	24. Cho Young-Kwang 17. Kim Beom-Su 50. Lebon K. 88. Lee Jun-Hee (G) 12. Min Jun-Yeong 19. Ronan 21. Yang Ji-san 2. Yoo Ji-Ha 14. Yoon Min-ho
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Park Dong-Hyuk

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Kim D. 🟨,
33', Jeong Kang-min ↓, Lebon K. ↑,
42', Choi Han-Sol 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Petrov S. ⚽, Jeon S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Choi Myung-Hee ↓, Jeong Y. ↑,
64', Ha Nam ↓, Ronan ↑,
64', Jeong Ji-Yong ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
69', Kim J. 🟨,
71', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Demethryus ↑,
81', Kim D. ↓, Kim Jung-Min ↑,
81', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Park Kyung-Min ↑,
87', Park Kyung-Min 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Hwaseong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeonnam Dragons has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
16	Jeonnam	25	4	9	12	28:43	-15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Jeonnam Dragons - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
04.04.26	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Chungnam Asan - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Hwaseong - Yongin	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hwaseong - Cheonan City	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Hwaseong - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTTW
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
04.04.26	Yongin - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cheonan City - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Paju Frontier - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Daegu - Jeonnam Dragons	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
14.09.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	1:2
31.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	3:2
12.04.25	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2

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