Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gothia Park Academy (Göteborg)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Häcken		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.8
	1.65	4.3	5	Watch
	1.69	4.37	4.84
	1.7	4.1	4.61	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.63	4.2	4.98	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	4.22 ↓ (4.33)	4.87 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
58%

Draw
22.5%

Degerfors
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

23.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Häcken's form might have worsened.

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Häcken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Degerfors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Häcken - Degerfors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Degerfors (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Häcken (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 25%). Degerfors (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Jansson O. (G) 28. Ohman F. 4. Lode M. 25. Faye A. 21. Lundkvist A. 10. Rygaard M. 8. Andersen S. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 29. Nioule S. 9. Hrstic S. 15. Leach S.	25. Forsell R. (G) 4. Hien L. 5. Pikkarainen J. 7. Ohlsson S. 16. Ohlsson S. 11. Gravius C. 8. Girmai N. (C) 2. Diaby M. 20. Barsoum E. 10. Rafferty M. 27. Salifu Z.
Substitutes
99. Berisha E. (G) 39. Brusberg I. 16. Dahbo P. 19. Dembe J. 17. Engdahl B. 13. Jansson S. 24. Layouni A. 42. Mitrovic N. 22. Zecevic N.	9. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 17. Kassi L. 30. Morgado B. 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E. 24. Smedberg H.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Hien L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Salifu Z. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Nioule S. ⚽, Rygaard M. (A),
60', Rafferty M. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Girmai N. ⚽, Ohlsson S. (A),
64', Nioule S. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Pihlstrom E. ⚽,
70', Barsoum E. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
70', Ohlsson S. ↓, Morgado B. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Pihlstrom E. ⚽, Gronborg T. (A),
75', Ohman F. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
75', Leach S. ↓, Dahbo P. ↑,
81', 2 - 4, Gustafson S. (Pen),
82', Faye A. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
84', 3 - 4, Dahbo P. ⚽, Layouni A. (A),
90+2', Ohlsson S. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
90+3', Dahbo P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Häcken won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Degerfors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Häcken is a favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Hammar J. (Inactive) Inoussa Z. (Leg Injury) Laursen J. (Inactive) Linde A. (Hamstring Injury) Vaisanen L. (Injury) Wembangomo B. (Tendon Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Häcken won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Häcken won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.04.25	IFK Göteborg - Häcken	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Häcken - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Öster - Häcken	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Häcken - Brommapojkarna	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Häcken - Sarpsborg 08	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	GAIS - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Degerfors - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.09.23	Degerfors - Häcken	1:0
13.05.23	Häcken - Degerfors	6:1
04.09.22	Häcken - Degerfors	2:2
09.04.22	Degerfors - Häcken	1:2
07.11.21	Häcken - Degerfors	2:0
15.08.21	Degerfors - Häcken	3:0
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Häcken - Degerfors	3:4

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