Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 24

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hong Kong	22:30	HOY TV
Mexico	08:30	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Norway	16:30	VG+
Sweden	16:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Malmö		Häcken

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.70	2.25
	2.65	3.60	2.37
	2.60	3.65	2.40
	2.81	3.75	2.41
	2.68	3.74	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.70	2.35
	2.79	3.76	2.34	Watch
	2.70	3.60	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.25)	3.69 ↑ (3.67)	2.36 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malmö
34.7%

Draw
25.5%

Häcken
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

25.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö's form might have worsened.

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Malmö - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Häcken will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 2. Gregersen S. 44. Palsson M. 25. Busanello 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 47. Lundbergh T. 45. Hoog A. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 29. Haksabanovic S.	99. Berisha E. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 13. Hilvenius H. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 6. Doumbia A. 19. Seger D. 20. Svanback A. 10. Rygaard M. (C) 11. Lindberg J. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
10. Christiansen A. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 11. Ekong E. 9. Garcia D. 42. Jeppsson V. 6. Karabelyov Y. 53. Karic T. 4. Kurtulus B. 54. Sundgren A.	7. Agger M. 14. Haaland M. 8. Hestnes S. 32. Ibrahim H. 18. Lindberg W. 1. Linde A. (G) 23. Samuelsson O. 15. Vaisanen L. 27. Wawa C.
Coaches
Helstrup G.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Doumbia A. 🟨,
24', Busanello 🟨,
26', Seger D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoog A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Svanback A. ⚽,
54', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
66', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
66', Gregersen S. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,
76', Seger D. ↓, Hestnes S. ↑,
80', Stryger J. 🟨,
80', Rygaard M. ↓, Lindberg W. ↑,
84', Stryger J. ↓, Sundgren A. ↑,
84', Lundbergh T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
84', Lindberg J. ↓, Wawa C. ↑,
84', Lindgren G. ↓, Vaisanen L. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Malmö: Assibu I. (Inactive) Busuladzic K. (Injury) Djuric A. (Yellow Cards) Garcia D. (Inactive) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) John N. (Inactive) Kamanzi W. (Muscle Injury) Sjostrand O. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Häcken: Engdahl B. (Lower-Body Injury) Ohman F. (Shoulder Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Malmö: Lahdo M. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Häcken: Svanback A. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hacken	25	12	9	4	47:30	17	45
8	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38:34	4	37

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hacken: 0.47%

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.10.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Västerås SK - Malmö	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Malmö - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sirius - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW
- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.10.26	Häcken - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.26	Kalmar - Häcken	0:5 ✺
11.09.26	Häcken - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	GAIS - Häcken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
10.05.26	Häcken - Malmö	3:2
01.11.25	Häcken - Malmö	1:1
01.06.25	Malmö - Häcken	3:0
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Malmö - Häcken	4:0
20.05.24	Häcken - Malmö	2:2
05.11.23	Häcken - Malmö	4:2

Upcoming Matches