Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Sweden	Discovery+, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Häcken

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.25
	1.73	4	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.55
	1.71	3.97	4.7	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.67	3.89	4.68	Watch
	1.72	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)	3.98 ↓ (4.63)	4.77 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
56.5%

Draw
23.7%

Häcken
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö's form might have worsened.

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	21.7%	4.3%

Malmö - Häcken Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Häcken will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ellborg M. (G) 2. Karlsson J. 17. Stryger J. (C) 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 22. Ali T. 7. Rosengren O. 40. Busuladzic K. 38. Bolin H. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 29. Haksabanovic S.	99. Berisha E. (G) 13. Jansson S. 4. Lode M. 8. Andersen S. 21. Lundkvist A. 10. Rygaard M. 15. Leach S. 16. Dahbo P. 19. Dembe J. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 29. Nioule S.
Substitutes
16. Berg O. 11. Ekong E. 44. Frejd Palsson M. 9. Kiese I. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 37. Skogmar A. 35. Zatterstrom N.	39. Brusberg I. 17. Engdahl B. 44. Hilvenius H. 32. Jansson O. (G) 1. Linde A. (G) 40. Ljungkull M. 42. Mitrovic N. 28. Ohman F. 22. Zecevic N.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Gustafsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Karlsson J. ⚽,
13', Rosengren O. 🟨,
19', Dembe J. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Busuladzic K. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
40', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
45+1', Gustafson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Andersen S. 🟨,
53', Lode M. 🟨,
57', Dembe J. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
61', Jansson S. ↓, Ohman F. ↑,
67', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
67', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
70', Rygaard M. ↓, Hilvenius H. ↑,
70', Dahbo P. ↓, Mitrovic N. ↑,
79', Ali T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
79', Busuladzic K. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Kiese I. ⚽, Berg O. (A),
90', Bolin H. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Jansson P. (Injury) Johnsen L. (Yellow Cards) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Häcken: Faye A. (Leg Injury) Hammar J. (Injury) Hrstic S. (Calf Injury) Inoussa Z. (Leg Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Layouni A. (Foot Injury) Lindberg J. (Calf Injury) Vaisanen L. (Injury) Wembangomo B. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Häcken: Dahbo P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.05.25	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	1:0 ✺
22.05.25	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Malmö - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
15.05.25	Värnamo - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTWT
- BK Häcken
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.05.25	Djurgården - Häcken	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Häcken - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Häcken - AIK	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Sirius - Häcken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Malmö - Häcken	4:0
20.05.24	Häcken - Malmö	2:2
05.11.23	Häcken - Malmö	4:2
21.05.23	Malmö - Häcken	2:2
23.10.22	Häcken - Malmö	2:1
22.05.22	Malmö - Häcken	1:2

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