Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bravida Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Häcken		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.3	4.55
	1.68	4.32	4.75
	1.00	15.95	40.00	Watch
	1.7	4.33	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	6.65 ↑ (4.3)	11.62 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
73.5%

Draw
16.8%

Norrköping
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

21.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

22.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norrköping might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norrköping could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Häcken - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Norrköping will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 50%). Norrköping (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Häcken (1.63) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 2 - 50%). Norrköping (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 11. Lindberg J. 44. Hilvenius H. 4. Lode M. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 8. Andersen S. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 24. Layouni A. 19. Dembe J. 20. Svanback A.	40. Andersson D. (G) 4. Sogaard A. 19. Watson M. 17. Tamba A. 3. Baggesen M. 7. Fransson A. 9. Traustason A. 25. Jansson K. 37. Neffati M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
18. Al Saed D. 39. Brusberg I. 16. Dahbo P. 32. Jansson O. (G) 13. Jansson S. 15. Leach S. 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 23. Samuelsson O.	28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 31. Lindvall J. 45. Petersen C. (G) 22. Prica T.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
11', Lode M. 🟨,
12', Traustason A. 🟨,
25', Andersen S. 🟨,
29', Tamba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tamba A. ↓, Eriksson A. ↑,
46', Lode M. ↓, Samuelsson O. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Watson M. (Own goal),
57', Hilvenius H. 🟨,
61', Dembe J. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
61', Fransson A. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
61', Neffati M. ↓, Lindvall J. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Brusberg I. ⚽, Lindberg J. (A),
79', Watson M. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
85', Nyman C. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
88', Layouni A. ↓, Al Saed D. ↑,
90+4', Brusberg I. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
90+5', Gustafson S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 3.

Recent form of Häcken has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norrköping is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Häcken has had a series of away games.

In this match, Häcken is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Hammar J. (Heel Injury) Kondo S. (Thigh Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Linde A. (Thigh Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury) Wembangomo B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Norrköping: Tamba A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.09.25	Hammarby - Häcken	4:0 ✺
15.09.25	Häcken - IFK Göteborg	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	GAIS - Häcken	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	CFR Cluj - Häcken	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.25	Värnamo - Häcken	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.25	Norrköping - AIK	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Halmstad - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Norrköping - Djurgården	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Öster - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Viggbyholm - Norrköping	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2
Svenska Cupen
16.03.25	Häcken - Norrköping	3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.09.24	Norrköping - Häcken	3:3
28.04.24	Häcken - Norrköping	1:2
22.10.23	Häcken - Norrköping	4:1
02.07.23	Norrköping - Häcken	2:2
Svenska Cupen
11.03.23	Häcken - Norrköping	3:0

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