Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 24

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		AIK

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.85	3.5	1.9
	4.13	3.55	1.94
	3.55	3.22	2.12	Watch
	3.77	3.62	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.6	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	3.5 (3.5)	1.95 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
24.8%

Draw
26.9%

AIK
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.5%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

26.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	25.9%	63%

Norrköping - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 3 - 12%). AIK will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AIK (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Norrköping (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 2 - 25%). AIK (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 4. Sogaard A. 19. Watson M. 17. Tamba A. 3. Baggesen M. 7. Fransson A. 9. Traustason A. 25. Jansson K. 37. Neffati M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 3. Isherwood T. 2. Edh E. 7. Saletros A. (C) 19. Besirovic D. 45. Ayari T. 36. Yohanna Z. 10. Celina B. 20. Flataker E.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 31. Lindvall J. 45. Petersen C. (G) 22. Prica T.	18. Ali A. 33. Csongvai A. 47. Fesshaie A. 29. Filling K. 46. Geiger Y. 22. Helm A. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 48. Kouame A. 44. Teribe A.
Coaches
Falk M.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Neffati M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Watson M. ⚽, Sogaard A. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Fransson A. ⚽, Nyman C. (A),
45+7', Benkovic F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Papagiannopoulos S. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
46', Yohanna Z. ↓, Csongvai A. ↑,
46', Isherwood T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
69', Sogaard A. 🟨,
70', Flataker E. ↓, Filling K. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Jansson K. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Besirovic D. ⚽, Csongvai A. (A),
82', Tamba A. ↓, Eriksson A. ↑,
86', Ayari T. ↓, Fesshaie A. ↑,
90', Nyman C. 🟨,
90+2', Sigurgeirsson I. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
90+5', Nyman C. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 2.

Norrköping is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AIK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AIK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Andersson V. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Hove J. (Calf Injury) Redkin A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Norrköping: Tamba A. (Injury)

There are questionable in AIK: Kouame A. (Injury) Saletros A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.25	Halmstad - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Norrköping - Djurgården	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Öster - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Viggbyholm - Norrköping	0:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.25	Norrköping - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWW
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.09.25	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	AIK - Sirius	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Degerfors - AIK	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	IFK Göteborg - AIK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Győri ETO - AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
06.04.25	AIK - Norrköping	4:3
04.11.24	Norrköping - AIK	1:0
05.05.24	AIK - Norrköping	6:2
21.08.23	Norrköping - AIK	3:1
Club Friendly
26.06.23	Norrköping - AIK	1:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.04.23	AIK - Norrköping	0:3
21.08.22	Norrköping - AIK	2:4

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