Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 32

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Hørsholm Idrætspark (Rungsted Kyst)


	Hørsholm-Usserød		Næsby

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.90	1.75
	3.45	3.80	1.77
	3.63	4.92	1.65
	2.99	4.06	1.97	Watch
	3.10	3.80	1.83
	3.53	4.40	1.70
	2.8	3.7	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.8)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hørsholm-Usserød
27.8%

Draw
22.3%

Næsby
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.3%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hørsholm-Usserød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Næsby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Næsby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hørsholm Usserød - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 4)

Preview

Hørsholm-Usserød is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Næsby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hørsholm-Usserød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Næsby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hørsholm-Usserød won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Hørsholm-Usserød won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
06.06.26	Vanløse - Hørsholm-Usserød	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - FA 2000	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Nykøbing - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLL
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
06.06.26	Næsby - FA 2000	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Nykøbing - Næsby	3:2 ✺
25.05.26	Vanløse - Næsby	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
09.05.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	5:0
28.03.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:1
30.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Næsby	1:1

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