Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Hürth		VfL Alfter

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.4	3.3
	1.6	4.1	3.85
	1.68	4.4	4.12
	1.68	4.5	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	4.35 ↑ (4.32)	3.68 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hürth
54.6%

Draw
20.8%

VfL Alfter
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

21%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

20.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hürth's performance.

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VfL Alfter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hürth than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hürth won 0.

Hürth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alfter is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hürth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hürth won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hürth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Hürth
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
18.04.22	Pesch - Hürth	1:2 ✺
14.04.22	Breinig - Hürth	4:1 ✺
10.04.22	Hürth - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Hürth - Wesseling-Urfeld	4:1 ✺
20.03.22	Siegburger - Hürth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWWW
- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
18.04.22	VfL Alfter - Hennef 05	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Fortuna Köln II - VfL Alfter	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	VfL Alfter - Düren	2:3 ✺
27.03.22	Deutz - VfL Alfter	0:1 ✺
24.03.22	VfL Alfter - Pesch	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
04.04.19	Hürth - VfL Alfter	3:0
02.09.18	VfL Alfter - Hürth	2:1
11.03.18	VfL Alfter - Hürth	0:0
10.09.17	Hürth - VfL Alfter	0:1
16.10.16	VfL Alfter - Hürth	2:1
24.04.16	Hürth - VfL Alfter	3:2
31.10.15	VfL Alfter - Hürth	1:2

Hürth - VfL Alfter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide