Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	IAPE		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.7	2.7
	2.68	2.72	2.68
	2.8	2.79	2.72
	2.91	2.54	2.86	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.82	2.87	2.74
	2.44	2.94	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.44)	2.75 ↓ (2.94)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IAPE
33.6%

Draw
33.1%

Iguatu
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

31%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IAPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IAPE than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

IAPE - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Matheus Lima ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 1 - 1, Michael ⚽,

Preview

IAPE is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Iguatu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, IAPE won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IAPE FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - IAPE	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	IAPE - Parnahyba	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Parnahyba - IAPE	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	IAPE - Moto Club de São Luís	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Iguatu - IAPE	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Iguatu - Moto Club de São Luís	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Iguatu - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Iguatu - IAPE	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Iguatu - IAPE	3:2

IAPE - Iguatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide