Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maracanã |
|
Iguatu |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
2.98 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.86 |
3.09 |
3.67 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.26 |
3.81 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.85 |
3.77 |
|
 |
2.66 |
2.76 |
2.76 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.66) |
2.96 ↑
(2.76) |
3.54 ↑
(2.76) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maracanã
43.5% | Draw
30.8% | Iguatu
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracanã's performance.Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iguatu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracanã that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iguatu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Maracanã - Iguatu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Vinicius Caninde ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Matheus Lima ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maracanã won 2.Maracanã has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Iguatu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). Maracanã might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maracanã won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Maracanã won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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