Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	IFK Östersunds		Boden

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.45	4.25	5.7
	1.41	4.2	5
	1.46	4.45	5.6	Watch
	1.43	4.2	5.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	5.47 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
62.6%

Draw
21%

Boden
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.7%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Östersunds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

IFK Östersunds - Boden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Talsi S. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Haggman I. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IFK Östersunds won 1.

IFK Östersunds is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Boden is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

IFK Östersunds holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, IFK Östersunds has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for IFK Östersunds against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	IFK Ostersund	12	7	2	3	33:18	15	40
7	Boden	12	4	2	6	15:26	-11	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.26	Täfteå - IFK Östersunds	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Gottne	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Skellefteå FF	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Skellefteå FF - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	IFK Östersunds - Täfteå	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTW
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.09.26	Boden - Skellefteå FF	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Boden - Luleå	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Boden	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Boden - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Skellefteå FF - Boden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
22.08.26	Boden - IFK Östersunds	2:2
24.08.24	Boden - IFK Östersunds	3:2
18.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Boden	1:2
08.10.22	IFK Östersunds - Boden	2:1
11.06.22	Boden - IFK Östersunds	2:1
13.11.21	IFK Östersunds - Boden	2:0
04.09.21	Boden - IFK Östersunds	2:1

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