Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 26

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	IFK Trelleborg		Simrishamn

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	2.5
	2.15	4	2.65
	2.1	4.02	2.49
	2.15	4.25	2.58
	2.2	4.2	2.45
	2.18	3.9	2.6
	2.15	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.94)	4.04 ↑ (3.84)	2.56 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Trelleborg
42.1%

Draw
22.5%

Simrishamn
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

23.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

24.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Simrishamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simrishamn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Trelleborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simrishamn than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Simrishamn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

IFK Trelleborg - Simrishamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

IFK Trelleborg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches IFK Trelleborg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 3.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Trelleborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Trelleborg
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
12.10.24	Hässleholm - IFK Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	IFK Trelleborg - IFK Hässleholm	3:1 ✺
30.09.24	IFK Trelleborg - Balkan	3:2 ✺
22.09.24	Österlen - IFK Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Högaborgs - IFK Trelleborg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL
- IFK Simrishamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
12.10.24	Simrishamn - IFK Hässleholm	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Karlshamn - Simrishamn	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Simrishamn - Räppe GoIF	2:2 ✺
23.09.24	Balkan - Simrishamn	2:3 ✺
14.09.24	Nosaby - Simrishamn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
08.06.24	Simrishamn - IFK Trelleborg	2:5
02.09.23	Simrishamn - IFK Trelleborg	2:2
07.05.23	IFK Trelleborg - Simrishamn	3:0

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