Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	IFK Umeå		Notvikens

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	3.4
	1.95	4	2.85
	1.76	4	3.4
	1.77	4.2	3.54
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.69	4.2	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.3)	4.07 ↑ (4)	3.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Umeå
51%

Draw
22.1%

Notvikens
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

17.3%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Umeå's performance.

Notvikens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notvikens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Umeå than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notvikens than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notvikens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IFK Umeå - Notvikens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

IFK Umeå has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Notvikens is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notvikens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

IFK Umeå will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Umeå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.10.20	Sandvik - IFK Umeå	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	IFK Umeå - Täfteå	0:1 ✺
25.09.20	IFK Umeå - Umeå	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Piteå - IFK Umeå	4:0 ✺
12.09.20	Boden - IFK Umeå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Notvikens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.10.20	Stöde - Notvikens	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Notvikens - Gottne	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Umeå - Notvikens	5:4 ✺
12.09.20	Ytterhogdal - Notvikens	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Notvikens - Morön	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WWLTW

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