The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IFK Östersunds 26.1%
Draw 28.6%
Kalmar 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
27.9%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
22.2%
59.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Östersunds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.6%
12.5%
71.9%
IFK Östersunds - Kalmar Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. IFK Östersunds will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Kalmar will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 56.3% – 87.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (54.06%), has project points - 23, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kalmar has the most likely position - 9 (14.28%), has project points - 37, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Östersund is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kalmar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kalmar will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Östersund won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.
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