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Current Win Probability
IJsselmeervogels 29.5%
Draw 23.2%
Katwijk 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
23.3%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
22.8%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
IJsselmeervogels - Katwijk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 26. Campman B. 14. Ruizendaal J. 15. Martis B. 3. van der Velden J. 21. van Hees M. 24. Robertha G. 19. Ignacio R. 11. Hardijk M.
1. Kesting J. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 2. van den Bogert V. 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. (C) 8. Janmaat F. 6. van der Meer R. 22. Brenna M. 7. Korte G. 19. Tahiri M. 10. Suleiman M.
Substitutes
8. Butter N. 1. Schaap J. (G) 29. Scholten S. 12. Van Bohemen C. 18. van Diermen B.
26. Bakker J. 27. Esselink N. 11. Jesse M. 18. Kamperveen A. 41. van Bladeren S. (G) 16. van Wageningen D. 25. Zandbergen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ignacio R. ⚽,
10', Maatsen D. 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Robertha G. ⚽, van Hees M. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Brenna M. ⚽, van der Meer R. (A),
44', van Hees M. 🟨,
45', Suleiman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', van Hees M. ↓, Butter N. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Korte G. ⚽, Suleiman M. (A),
73', Robertha G. ↓, Van Bohemen C. ↑,
73', Maatsen D. ↓, Bakker J. ↑,
82', van der Velden J. ↓, Mattheij J. ↑,
83', Janmaat F. ↓, van Wageningen D. ↑,
83', Tahiri M. ↓, Kamperveen A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Brenna M. ⚽, van Wageningen D. (A),
90+4', Suleiman M. ↓, Esselink N. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
IJsselmeervogels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Katwijk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:19. (average 0.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, IJsselmeervogels won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).