Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		Katwijk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.92	3.75	2.1
	2.94	3.9	2.11	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.05
	2.93	3.52	2.1	Watch
	2.85	3.66	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	3.61 ↑ (3.15)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
31.3%

Draw
25.2%

Katwijk
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Tureaij C. (G) 3. Ringeling K. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q. 6. van Eerden J. 14. Verbont J. 8. Udenhout J. 16. El Fakiri Karim 27. Plank D. 24. Lopes Varela D. 30. Hamd Y.	41. van Bladeren S. (C) 3. Ravensbergen J. 6. van der Meer R. 7. Korte G. 4. Maatsen D. 8. Janmaat F. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 10. Suleiman M. 16. van Wageningen D. 15. Sinteur B. 19. Tahiri M.
Substitutes
10. Bakour M. 26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S.	27. Esselink N. 18. Kamperveen A. 1. Kesting J. (G) 2. van den Bogert V. 9. Van der Moot D. 14. van der Veldt K. 25. Zandbergen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Janmaat F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', van der Pluijm Y. ↓, van den Bogert V. ↑,
53', Sinteur B. 🟨,
56', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
64', Tahiri M. ↓, Van der Moot D. ↑,
64', Suleiman M. ↓, Zandbergen V. ↑,
78', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
84', Hamd Y. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
85', Tavares Q. ↓, Madi A. ↑,
87', Korte G. ↓, Kamperveen A. ↑,
87', Kamperveen A. ↓, Korte G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Excelsior Maassluis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Katwijk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Katwijk	8	3	2	3	11:13	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Katwijk - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
17.01.26	De Treffers - Excelsior Maassluis	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Utrecht	Canceled ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Ajax	2:7 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 L?LWT
- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
17.01.26	Katwijk - RKAV Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	Den Bosch - Katwijk	2:1 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Katwijk	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Katwijk - Spakenburg	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.08.25	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	3:2
10.05.25	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	0:1
30.11.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	1:1
11.05.24	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1
02.12.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	1:2
15.04.23	Katwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	4:2
29.10.22	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	3:2

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