Match Info

Date: 12 September 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	IL Express		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	3.5	4	1.71
	3.55	4.25	1.62
	3.6	4.2	1.63
	3.55	4.51	1.64
	3.6	4.2	1.63
	3.58	4.7	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)	4.31 ↓ (4.43)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IL Express
25.1%

Draw
20.7%

Sarpsborg 2
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.9%

20.2%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IL Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IL Express than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

IL Express - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Express will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sarpsborg 2 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Express has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sarpsborg 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Express could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sarpsborg 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Express won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Express
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
02.09.22	Randesund - IL Express	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	IL Express - Sprint-Jeloy	2:4 ✺
20.08.22	IL Express - Pors	1:3 ✺
13.08.22	Fredrikstad 2 - IL Express	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	IL Express - Halsen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
06.09.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2	4:1 ✺
29.08.22	Pors - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
21.08.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Vindbjart	3:1 ✺
14.08.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Randesund	4:1 ✺
08.08.22	Fram Larvik - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.06.22	Sarpsborg 2 - IL Express	4:3

IL Express - Sarpsborg 2