Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Fredrikstad 2

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.45	2.92
	1.95	4.38	2.75
	2.61	4.04	2.22	Watch
	1.87	4.15	3.1
	1.84	4.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.94)	4.25 ↑ (3.9)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
45.6%

Draw
21.8%

Fredrikstad 2
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

22.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

21%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fredrikstad 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad 2 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Esenli M. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Granaas E. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Osnes H. ⚽,
37', 2 - 2, Botchway N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 2 - 3, Botchway N. ⚽,
50', 2 - 4, Botchway N. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Sarpsborg 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
29.09.25	Stabæk 2 - Sarpsborg 2	3:2 ✺
22.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Grei	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Ørn-Horten - Sarpsborg 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Pors 2 - Sarpsborg 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Fredrikstad 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
02.10.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Odd 2	0:5 ✺
24.09.25	Drøbak-Frogn - Fredrikstad 2	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Kvik Halden - Fredrikstad 2	5:0 ✺
14.09.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Stabæk 2	2:3 ✺
01.09.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Fredrikstad 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.05.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:6
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
06.09.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2	4:1
15.05.22	Fredrikstad 2 - Sarpsborg 2	4:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
04.10.21	Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2	1:1

Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide