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Current Win Probability
IMT Novi Beograd 32%
Draw 26.5%
Radnički 1923 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
27.2%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
27.8%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IMT Novi Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Radnički 1923 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IMT Novi Beograd than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IMT Novi Beograd that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički 1923 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički 1923 Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. IMT will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Radnički 1923 will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički 1923: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Cancarevic O. (G) 45. Casas I. 6. Jovanovic V. 5. Sissako M. 3. Martos I. 7. Glisic N. 22. Novicic V. (C) 18. Tiendrebeogo J. 10. Zagar D. 19. Lebi O. 37. Boulaya F.
81. Lijeskic L. (G) 4. Milicic N. 14. Simovic S. (C) 5. Marjanovic N. 34. Kovacevic B. 99. Ben Hassine L. 16. Tomic V. 10. Cisse M. 9. Evandro 17. Balde A. 19. Sokler E.
Substitutes
20. Cojic T. 12. Gicic K. (G) 14. Jevtic M. 11. Juninho 50. Karamoko S. 99. Keita C. 94. Kiankaulua V. 25. Krstic N. 80. Milanovic A. 40. Radivojevic D. 27. Radocaj V.
23. Adzic B. 32. Bukumira N. 8. Cosic M. 92. Marinkovic B. (G) 15. Mitrovic M. 45. Mladenovic M. (G) 27. Ristic M. 30. Ude T. 90. Vidakov M.
Coaches
Vasiljevic Z.
Matic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Boulaya F. 🟨,
25', Kovacevic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Glisic N. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
57', Lebi O. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
71', Evandro ↓, Bukumira N. ↑,
75', Zagar D. ↓, Radivojevic D. ↑,
85', Tomic V. ↓, Vidakov M. ↑,
88', Boulaya F. ↓, Cojic T. ↑,
88', Karamoko S. ↓, Kiankaulua V. ↑,
90+4', Tiendrebeogo J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IMT won 2.
IMT is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Radnički 1923's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, IMT won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, IMT won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now
Radnicki 1923: 2.56% IMT Novi Beograd: 1.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Radnicki 1923
9
5
2
2
17:9
8
17
5
IMT Novi Beograd
10
4
3
3
12:7
5
15
Last Results with these Odds
Radnički 1923 - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.81%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.