Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	INCA-Aruba		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	10.00	4.75	1.26
	8.50	4.50	1.29
	6.66	3.9	1.49	Watch
	11.90	4.60	1.25
	11.00	4.80	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.61 ↑ (6.38)	4.51 ↑ (3.78)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

INCA-Aruba
9.5%

Draw
20.3%

Alianza San Miguel
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

24%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

INCA-Aruba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.

INCA Aruba - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Rivera N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Paz B. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 1 - 2, Moura G. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Leon D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

In this match, Alianza is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20:19	1	18
9	Inca Aruba	15	4	4	7	13:27	-14	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
09.05.26	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - Zacatecoluca	4:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
21.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWT

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