Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia, SNRT Live


	IR Tanger		FUS Rabat

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.3
	3	2.85	2.25
	3.1	2.92	2.35
	3.59	2.99	2.22
	3.70	2.89	2.15	Watch
	3.2	2.89	2.37	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.11)	2.92 ↓ (2.92)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IR Tanger
28.4%

Draw
31.4%

FUS Rabat
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

31.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

30.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IR Tanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

FUS Rabat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Tanger than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FUS Rabat than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

IR Tanger - FUS Rabat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Ouaad A. (G) 6. El Ouadghiri B. 4. Saoud M. 97. Gaddarine B. 22. Kiani Z. 20. El Bellali E. 79. Sanogo S. 23. Lamrabat A. 5. Moutaouali M. 19. Ghabra J. 14. El Bahja H.	12. Benrhozil T. (G) 22. El Mahssani H. 15. Farhane A. 3. El Msane A. 47. Soukhane O. 5. Serrhat A. 8. Mahir A. 49. Tazi S. 14. Souane A. 9. Mouloua A. 30. El Harrak A.
Substitutes
8. Abdoul Mutalib F. 34. Al-Kartit M. 99. Bakkali Z. 64. Chninak N. 49. El Moussaoui L. 24. El Wahabi A. 75. Kote M. 38. Kpolo L. 73. Laghzal Y. (G)	33. Amri M. 6. Bahsain M. 10. Benyachou S. 17. El Badoui M. 7. Faidi C. 1. Ghanimi R. (G) 66. Gitego A. 18. Moutaraji I. 26. Raoui O.
Coaches
Et-Tair H.	Chiba S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Farhane A. 🟨,
30', Lamrabat A. 🟨,
34', Sanogo S. 🟥,
42', 0 - 1, Souane A. ⚽, Tazi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lamrabat A. ↓, Abdoul Mutalib F. ↑,
52', El Ouaad A. 🟨,
54', El Ouaad A. 🟥,
57', El Bellali E. ↓, Laghzal Y. ↑,
60', El Mahssani H. 🟨,
61', Abdoul Mutalib F. 🟨,
65', Mouloua A. ↓, Benyachou S. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Benyachou S. ⚽,
75', El Bahja H. ↓, Bakkali Z. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, El Harrak A. ⚽, Tazi S. (A),
83', Moutaouali M. ↓, Kpolo L. ↑,
83', Ghabra J. ↓, Kote M. ↑,
85', Souane A. ↓, Raoui O. ↑,
85', El Harrak A. ↓, Faidi C. ↑,
88', El Mahssani H. ↓, Amri M. ↑,
88', Tazi S. ↓, Moutaraji I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Tanger won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

IR Tanger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FUS Rabat has had a series of home games.

FUS Rabat will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IR Tanger won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, IR Tanger won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IR Tanger
Moroccan Botola
01.10.25	FAR Rabat - IR Tanger	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	IR Tanger - Olympic Safi	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	IR Tanger - Hassania Agadir	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	3:1 ✺
13.08.25	IR Tanger - Union de Touarga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTLT
- FUS Rabat
Moroccan Botola
26.09.25	FUS Rabat - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	CODM de Meknès - FUS Rabat	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	FUS Rabat - Raja Casablanca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	3:1 ✺
13.08.25	FUS Rabat - CODM de Meknès	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.08.25	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	3:1
Moroccan Botola
18.01.25	IR Tanger - FUS Rabat	1:0
29.09.24	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	0:0
20.04.24	IR Tanger - FUS Rabat	2:1
08.12.23	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	0:0
03.04.23	IR Tanger - FUS Rabat	1:0
16.10.22	FUS Rabat - IR Tanger	1:0

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