Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Ibar Rožaje		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.55	2.05
	2.5	3.35	2.32
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.57	3.5	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (5.45)	3.48 ↓ (3.74)	2.22 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ibar Rožaje
33.5%

Draw
25.9%

Arsenal Tivat
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

24%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

20.1%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibar Rožaje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibar Rožaje's performance.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibar Rožaje than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibar Rožaje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+30.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tivat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibar Rožaje - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Ibar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Tivat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Tivat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal Tivat is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ibar Rožaje
Montenegrin Druga Liga
29.11.20	Ibar Rožaje - Kom Podgorica	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Grbalj Radanovici - Ibar Rožaje	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Ibar Rožaje - Berane	0:4 ✺
08.11.20	Bokelj - Ibar Rožaje	1:1 ✺
04.11.20	Ibar Rožaje - Mornar Bar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLTT
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin Druga Liga
29.11.20	Igalo - Arsenal Tivat	2:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
25.11.20	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
22.11.20	Arsenal Tivat - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	3:2 ✺
15.11.20	Arsenal Tivat - Kom Podgorica	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Grbalj Radanovici - Arsenal Tivat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
11.10.20	Arsenal Tivat - Ibar Rožaje	1:1
04.07.20	Ibar Rožaje - Arsenal Tivat	2:1

Upcoming Matches