Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Ibar Rožaje		Mornar Bar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.6	3.1	1.89
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.68	3.32	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.24)	3.24 (3.24)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibar Rožaje
25.8%

Draw
27.7%

Mornar Bar
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibar Rožaje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibar Rožaje than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mornar Bar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Prva Crnogorska Liga (Promotion)).

Ibar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mornar Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ibar have a series of guest games.

Mornar Bar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ibar Rožaje
Montenegrin Druga Liga
31.10.20	Drezga - Ibar Rožaje	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Ibar Rožaje	5:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
21.10.20	Zeta - Ibar Rožaje	8:0 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
18.10.20	Ibar Rožaje - Igalo	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Arsenal Tivat - Ibar Rožaje	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin Druga Liga
25.10.20	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Mornar Bar - Kom Podgorica	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Grbalj Radanovici - Mornar Bar	2:3 ✺
07.10.20	Berane - Mornar Bar	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Mornar Bar - Bokelj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
19.09.20	Mornar Bar - Ibar Rožaje	3:0
28.06.20	Mornar Bar - Ibar Rožaje	2:0
03.05.17	Mornar Bar - Ibar Rožaje	1:0

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