Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Ibarra		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.13	3.3	3.05
	2.17	3.06	3.01
	2.19	3.28	3.07
	2.12	3.28	3.1
	2.13	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
42.3%

Draw
28%

Mensajero
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

23.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibarra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Ibarra - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

The competitors look crappy now.

Ibarra will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
03.11.24	Lanzarote - Ibarra	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Ibarra - Arucas	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	UD San Fernando - Ibarra	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ibarra - Unión Viera	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Ibarra - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLT
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
03.11.24	Mensajero - Los Llanos de Aridane	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Panadería Pulido - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Mensajero - Tamaraceite	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Las Palmas B - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Las Rozas - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
25.03.23	Ibarra - Mensajero	2:3
27.11.22	Mensajero - Ibarra	3:0
28.11.20	Ibarra - Mensajero	1:2
08.02.20	Ibarra - Mensajero	0:1
09.12.18	Ibarra - Mensajero	0:3

Ibarra - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide