The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mensajero 47.7%
Draw 27.2%
Tamaraceite 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
27%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
28.7%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
The chances for Tamaraceite have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Mensajero - Tamaraceite Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Barroso Santana M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Nieto V. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Tamaraceite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mensajero will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mensajero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
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