The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ibarra 37.6%
Draw 29.7%
Vera de Puerto Cruz 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
29.1%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
21.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibarra's performance.
Vera de Puerto Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vera de Puerto Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibarra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vera de Puerto Cruz than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vera de Puerto Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ibarra - Vera de Puerto Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 12 (Second stage)).
Ibarra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ibarra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
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