Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ibarra		Santa Úrsula

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5.6
	1.54	3.8	5.67	Watch
	1.54	3.92	5.15
	1.53	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)	5.51 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
59.4%

Draw
24%

Santa Úrsula
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Santa Úrsula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ibarra - Santa Úrsula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Lias Montero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2.

Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ibarra is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
04.04.25	Buzanada - Ibarra	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Ibarra - Marino	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Mensajero - Ibarra	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Arucas - Ibarra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWW
- CD Santa Úrsula
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
05.04.25	Santa Úrsula - Los Llanos de Aridane	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Panadería Pulido - Santa Úrsula	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Las Palmas B - Santa Úrsula	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Santa Úrsula - Herbania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
30.11.24	Santa Úrsula - Ibarra	2:3
28.03.24	Santa Úrsula - Ibarra	1:0
10.11.23	Ibarra - Santa Úrsula	1:0
20.01.23	Ibarra - Santa Úrsula	0:2
17.09.22	Santa Úrsula - Ibarra	3:0
06.03.21	Santa Úrsula - Ibarra	4:1
17.02.21	Ibarra - Santa Úrsula	1:1

Ibarra - Santa Úrsula