Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 2

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.75	3.3	4.65
	1.76	3.51	5.3
	1.22	5.77	12.47	Watch
	1.77	3.44	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	3.86 ↑ (3.25)	6.32 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
59.4%

Draw
25.2%

Hércules
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

29.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ibiza - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 18. Indias I. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 14. Fede 6. del Pozo D. 10. Gallar A. 7. Bebe 20. El Ftouhi S.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 20. Sotillos A. 3. Alvarez A. 4. Rentero J. 21. Retu 6. Colomina R. 14. Ben Hamed N. 18. Rojas C. 7. Soldevila O. 11. Ropero U. 19. Sol F.
Substitutes
. Davo . Diez S. 19. Errahaly M. 30. Garcia D. . Glazer T. 24. Joao Fersura 4. Monjonell E. 27. Muller S. . Pedreno M. . Pugliese P. . Sene J. . Torrelavid C. (G)	22. Aranda A. 15. Cantero R. 23. de Palmas R. 28. Galvan J. . Gomes V. 5. Jimenez J. 8. Mangada C. 25. Mompean M. (G) 9. Slavy 2. Vazquez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Rojas C. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Gallar A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Ben Hamed N. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Bebe ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sotillos A. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
46', Bebe ↓, Glazer T. ↑,
54', Gomez E. 🟨,
59', del Pozo D. 🟨,
69', Fede ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
69', Gallar A. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
70', Ropero U. ↓, Slavy ↑,
74', Rojas C. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
74', Colomina R. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
76', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
84', Retu ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
88', Gomez E. ↓, Davo ↑,
88', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Ibiza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ibiza is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.08.25	Sevilla B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Ibiza - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.08.25	Hércules - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Elche - Hércules	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.25	Hércules - Ibiza	3:2
15.09.24	Ibiza - Hércules	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.02.21	Hércules - Ibiza	1:0
29.11.20	Ibiza - Hércules	1:0

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