Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Roca J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Ibiza		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.63
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.42	3.25	2.62
	2.43	3.4	2.68
	2.45	3.45	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.35	3.22	2.62
	2.37	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.71)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	2.63 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
37.9%

Draw
27.6%

Zaragoza
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Ibiza - Zaragoza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 2. Busto P. 4. Blasco J. 15. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia V. 20. Ortiz P. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 18. Astals D. 17. Valls T. 21. Lazo J. 9. Justo M.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 21. Gonzalez D. 14. Rubo 25. Sangalli M. 18. Escudero S. (C) 11. Jardi J. 16. Terrer L. 6. Ademo P. 19. Jamelli 3. Pereira R. 17. Vadillo I.
Substitutes
23. Almenara G. 6. Calavera J. 7. Eslava J. 5. Fadel I. 22. Modesto H. 11. Nsukula G. 24. Ruiz E. 13. Stamatakis D. (G) 19. Varela I. 31. Vlad R. (G) 10. Yoldi A.	4. Barrachina H. 7. Cuenca M. A. 20. Delgado J. 22. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 2. Gabilondo J. 26. Monzon D. 13. Pena A. (G) 10. Pinilla H. 15. Saidu Y. 9. Sans P. 5. Tachi 23. Urena O.
Coaches
Llona R.	Ibai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Terrer L. 🟨,
35', Jamelli 🟨,
40', Rodriguez G. ↓, Fadel I. ↑,
41', Fadel I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Terrer L. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
46', Lazo J. ↓, Yoldi A. ↑,
48', Jardi J. 🟨,
51', Ademo P. 🟨,
57', Vadillo I. ↓, Urena O. ↑,
57', Escudero S. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Urena O. ⚽, Espiau Hernandez E. D. (A),
61', Saidu Y. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Urena O. ⚽,
68', Justo M. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
68', Ortiz P. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
71', Jamelli ↓, Monzon D. ↑,
76', Monzon D. 🟨,
79', Valls T. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
86', Jardi J. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
90+6', Varela I. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ibiza has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ibiza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaragoza	6	5	0	1	12:6	6	15
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Real Jaén - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ibiza - Sant Andreu	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Antequera - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.26	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Zaragoza	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Zaragoza - Antequera	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Numancia - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.23	Ibiza - Zaragoza	1:0
03.12.22	Zaragoza - Ibiza	2:1
31.01.22	Ibiza - Zaragoza	2:2
13.08.21	Zaragoza - Ibiza	0:0

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