Match Info

NPFL - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Ikorodu City		Nasarawa United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.29	5.63
	1.79	3.21	4.51	Watch
	1.43	3.86	7.13
	1.75	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)	3.4 ↑ (3.13)	5.47 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
56.1%

Draw
27.1%

Nasarawa United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

31.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Ikorodu City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ikorodu City - Nasarawa United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Atata M. (G) 20. Arumala J. 7. Chidera Oparaocha C. 21. Christian J. 40. Malik M. 8. Moses S. 23. Odinaka A. 13. Ojetoye W. 30. Onwe K. 25. Temitope F. 37. Udoh G.	34. Godwin A. (G) 6. Abdullahi A. 8. Ada U. 23. Istifanus J. 30. John J. 3. Mubarak H. 4. Nduka C. 20. Okorie E. 28. Utaka E. 24. Victor Ekioke J. 14. Yusuf A.
Substitutes
28. Adebayo T. 36. Anuba G. 27. Dada O. 38. Ibifubara D. 22. Ocheme I. (G) 33. Ogbonnaya J. 16. Owolabi R.	25. Abayomi L. 32. Garba M. 18. Ikemdinachi I. 31. Olughu C. (G) 29. Onovughe C. 7. Osanga K. 5. Tsehuan M. 17. Ugochukwu L. 11. Ulunwa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Chidera Oparaocha C. ⚽,
42', Malik M. ↓, Dada O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Arumala J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Ikorodu City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nasarawa United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ikorodu City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ikorodu City is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ikorodu City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ikorodu City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
12.10.25	Ikorodu City - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Ikorodu City - Enyimba	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ikorodu City - Barau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTLW
- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
12.10.25	Nasarawa United - Enugu Rangers	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bendel Insurance - Nasarawa United	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Nasarawa United - Katsina United	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Bayelsa United - Nasarawa United	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Nasarawa United - Wikki Tourists	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
15.02.25	Nasarawa United - Ikorodu City	0:0
28.09.24	Ikorodu City - Nasarawa United	1:2

Ikorodu City - Nasarawa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide