Match Info

NPFL - Round 23

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)


	Ikorodu City		Shooting Stars

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.05	5.15
	1.65	3.19	5.73
	1.74	2.95	5.77	Watch
	1.7	2.9	5
	1.72	3.19	5.4
	1.6	3.1	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)	3.06 ↓ (3.5)	5.43 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
53.7%

Draw
29.6%

Shooting Stars
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

25.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

25.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ikorodu City's form might have worsened.

Shooting Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ikorodu City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shooting Stars than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Ikorodu City - Shooting Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Atata M. (G) 20. Arumala J. 11. Ayodeji A. 21. Christian J. 6. Ikechukwu E. 18. Jonah J. 30. Onwe K. 16. Owolabi R. 10. Oyedokun T. 37. Udoh G. 27. Ujunwa E.	16. Lawal M. (G) 4. Adelowo G. (C) 20. Al Ameen A. 26. Alex 28. Apaingolo J. 10. Ayobami A. 19. Ayodele I. 14. Emmanuel L. 27. Ibrahim S. 31. Tijjani K. 17. Utin I.
Substitutes
24. Awojobi T. 31. Ayoola I. 8. Bada M. 7. Chidera Oparaocha C. 38. Ibifubara D. 1. Julu D. (G) 3. Light K. 25. Temitope F.	12. Adegoke Q. 11. Akpan J. 30. Awosanmi P. 24. Azeez T. 25. Balogun 8. Chukwudi L. 22. Falke I. 33. Godgift E. (G) . Ojietefian D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Arumala J. ⚽,
12', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Onwe K. ↓, Ibifubara D. ↑,
46', Aghahowa A. ↓, Azeez T. ↑,
55', Utin I. 🟨,
56', Jonah J. ↓, Ayoola I. ↑,
56', Ayodeji A. ↓, Chidera Oparaocha C. ↑,
70', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Ikorodu City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shooting Stars has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shooting Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ikorodu City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ikorodu City is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ikorodu City	7	2	3	2	8:7	1	9
13	Shooting	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
18.01.26	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Ikorodu City - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Enugu Rangers - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Ikorodu City - Katsina United	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ikorodu City - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTW
- Shooting Stars
Nigerian Premier League
25.01.26	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Shooting Stars - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Enyimba - Shooting Stars	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Nasarawa United - Shooting Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
07.09.25	Shooting Stars - Ikorodu City	1:1
06.04.25	Shooting Stars - Ikorodu City	0:0
17.11.24	Ikorodu City - Shooting Stars	2:1

Ikorodu City - Shooting Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide