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Current Win Probability
Ilioupolis 46.3%
Draw 29.9%
AEK B 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
25.7%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
23.5%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilioupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilioupolis's form might have worsened.
AEK B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilioupolis than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilioupolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilioupolis - AEK B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Polychronis D. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Roukounakis K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Maroutsis L. ⚽,
58', 1 - 3, Garcia J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Manos D. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, Mavrias D. ⚽,
89', Thomaidis 🟥,
89', Parras 🟥,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: )).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Ilioupolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ilioupolis is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ilioupolis won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ilioupolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1