Match Info

Super League 2 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Action 24


	Ilioupolis		Ellas Syros

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.65	1.47
	6.48	4.33	1.41
	6	4	1.44
	6.67	4.05	1.42
	4.9	3.8	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (5.02)	3.97 ↑ (3.8)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilioupolis
14.7%

Draw
23%

Ellas Syros
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.9%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilioupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ellas Syros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilioupolis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ellas Syros than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ilioupolis - Ellas Syros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Kolimatsis C. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Kolimatsis C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent form of Ilioupolis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ellas Syros has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ellas Syros is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ilioupolis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ilioupolis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ellas Syrou	5	2	3	0	9:3	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Ilioupolis
Greek Super League 2
29.03.26	Ilioupolis - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Panargiakos - Ilioupolis	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Egaleo - Ilioupolis	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ellas Syros - Ilioupolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLT
- APO Ellas Syros
Greek Super League 2
29.03.26	Egaleo - Ellas Syros	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ellas Syros - PAE Chania	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ellas Syros - Panargiakos	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Athens Kallithea - Ellas Syros	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ellas Syros - Ilioupolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
01.03.26	Ellas Syros - Ilioupolis	1:1
21.12.25	Ellas Syros - Ilioupolis	1:1
18.10.25	Ilioupolis - Ellas Syros	1:2

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