Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Ilirija Ljubljana		Fužinar Ravne

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.2	3.43	2.95
	2.2	3.43	2.95
	2.12	3.6	3.01
	2.08	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija Ljubljana
42.9%

Draw
26.2%

Fužinar Ravne
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fužinar Ravne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fužinar Ravne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilirija won 2.

Ilirija has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fužinar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilirija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ilirija will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ilirija won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilirija won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.04.24	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
04.04.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Beltinci	1:2 ET ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Triglav	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Krka - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Fužinar Ravne
Slovenian 2 SNL
06.04.24	Fužinar Ravne - Bistrica	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Krka - Fužinar Ravne	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Fužinar Ravne - Dravinja	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Jadran Dekani - Fužinar Ravne	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Fužinar Ravne - Nafta	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
23.09.23	Fužinar Ravne - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:2
05.04.23	Ilirija Ljubljana - Fužinar Ravne	1:1
04.09.22	Fužinar Ravne - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:4
27.11.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Fužinar Ravne	4:2
15.08.21	Fužinar Ravne - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1
25.03.18	Fužinar Ravne - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1
02.09.17	Ilirija Ljubljana - Fužinar Ravne	2:0

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