Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Illertissen		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.95	1.88
	3.1	4.09	1.98
	3.62	3.65	1.82
	4.75	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (5.64)	3.92 (3.92)	1.82 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Illertissen
25.3%

Draw
23.7%

Unterhaching
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.2%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

23.1%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illertissen's performance.

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unterhaching might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illertissen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unterhaching could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illertissen - Unterhaching Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unterhaching (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Stiefler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Aigboje J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Cocic M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 2.

In recent matches, Illertissen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unterhaching is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Unterhaching is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 2.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.08.25	Illertissen - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
25.07.25	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Illertissen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWL?
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German Regionalliga Bayern
15.08.25	Unterhaching - Bayern Munich II	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Augsburg II - Unterhaching	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Unterhaching - Ansbach	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Vilzing - Unterhaching	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Liefering - Unterhaching	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
12.11.22	Illertissen - Unterhaching	3:4
23.07.22	Unterhaching - Illertissen	4:0
20.04.22	Illertissen - Unterhaching	0:2
03.09.21	Unterhaching - Illertissen	0:2
01.04.17	Illertissen - Unterhaching	4:3
10.09.16	Unterhaching - Illertissen	5:0
09.04.16	Illertissen - Unterhaching	2:1

Upcoming Matches