Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Illescas		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.8
	1.66	3.34	4.88
	1.7	3.39	4.94	Watch
	1.62	3.25	4.75
	1.64	3.35	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.31 ↑ (3.12)	4.87 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
54.3%

Draw
27.2%

Villarrubia
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Illescas - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2.

Villarrubia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Illescas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Illescas has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Illescas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Illescas	8	4	2	2	11:8	3	14
13	Villarrubia	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
20.09.26	Quintanar del Rey - Illescas	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.05.26	Illescas - Manchego	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Illescas - Albacete B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	La Solana - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTWL
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.09.26	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Villarrubia - Huracán Balazote	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Azuqueca - Villarrubia	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Villarrubia - Sonseca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.03.26	Illescas - Villarrubia	0:0
18.10.25	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:3
06.05.23	Illescas - Villarrubia	0:0
30.04.23	Villarrubia - Illescas	0:1
18.02.23	Villarrubia - Illescas	1:1
15.10.22	Illescas - Villarrubia	2:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:0

Illescas - Villarrubia