Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Villarrubia		Sonseca

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.9	6.9
	1.29	4.79	9.66
	1.62	2.92	8.22	Watch
	1.36	3.9	9.5
	1.32	4.2	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)	8.75 ↑ (8.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
66%

Draw
23.4%

Sonseca
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

22.3%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

16.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrubia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonseca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Villarrubia - Sonseca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Martin Benitez A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Dominguez M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Villarrubia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sonseca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Villarrubia is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.04.26	Villarrubia - Tarancón	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Pedroñeras - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	San Clemente - Villarrubia	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Villarrubia - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW
- CD Sonseca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.04.26	Sonseca - Albacete B	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Tarancón - Sonseca	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sonseca - La Solana	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Pedroñeras - Sonseca	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sonseca - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.01.26	Sonseca - Villarrubia	0:3

Villarrubia - Sonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide