Match Info
Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/32-finalsDate: 6 August 2025, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
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Ilpar Ilyinsky |
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Nosta Novotroitsk |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.61 |
3.87 |
2.06 |
Watch |
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3.14 |
3.54 |
2.21 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.38 ↑ (3.07) |
3.71 ↑ (3.6) |
2.14 ↓ (2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ilpar Ilyinsky 28.6% | Draw 26.1% | Nosta Novotroitsk 45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilpar Ilyinsky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Chebykin A. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Zaytsev A. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 1, Weiner A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 2, Weiner A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 85', 3 - 2, Paramonov E. ⚽,
- 89', Paramonov E. 🟥,
- 89', Nelyubov N. 🟥,
Preview
In recent matches, Nosta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Ilpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Nosta could have a small edge in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;