FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 5
Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday
Nosta Novotroitsk
Orenburg-2
1
X
2
2.78
3.60
2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.78 ↓ (2.79)
3.6 ↑ (3.5)
2.26 ↑ (2.24)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nosta Novotroitsk 33.3%
Draw 25.7%
Orenburg-2 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
26.2%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
24.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Weiner A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Irshev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 2.
In recent outings, Nosta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Orenburg-2 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Orenburg-2 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Nosta has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nosta against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:6 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
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